Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.590242 1.814128 2.057750 2.342480 2.666096 3.022456 3.444657
2025-10-19 1.275584 1.587505 1.956652 2.425540 3.005207 3.698392 4.590603
2025-10-26 1.065619 1.408858 1.839433 2.418829 3.178006 4.139040 5.448774
2025-11-02 0.923075 1.282661 1.755867 2.423540 3.341139 4.558170 6.296254
2025-11-09 0.795539 1.154497 1.647013 2.371235 3.408747 4.841746 6.973182
2025-11-16 0.713315 1.076233 1.593139 2.381844 3.554452 5.233732 7.823778
2025-11-23 0.652007 1.019357 1.560754 2.415192 3.729287 5.674319 8.775104
2025-11-30 0.588579 0.951185 1.502841 2.401243 3.827130 6.003283 9.580642
2025-12-07 0.526872 0.878405 1.429428 2.353670 3.864555 6.237647 10.252645
2025-12-14 0.469515 0.806229 1.349161 2.285624 3.859870 6.400546 10.817545
2025-12-21 0.427855 0.755532 1.298235 2.259384 3.918413 6.665545 11.565770
2025-12-28 0.409214 0.741967 1.307191 2.333526 4.149808 7.230999 12.861809
2026-01-04 0.372060 0.695899 1.262579 2.322186 4.253068 7.623011 13.958924
2026-01-11 0.351150 0.677586 1.266085 2.399307 4.525765 8.343966 15.729459
2026-01-18 0.321010 0.638294 1.226921 2.392876 4.643253 8.795650 17.049499
2026-01-25 0.295879 0.605504 1.195922 2.397529 4.780123 9.292711 18.499482
2026-02-01 0.266979 0.561839 1.139291 2.345780 4.801403 9.571317 19.551857
2026-02-08 0.248163 0.536415 1.115520 2.356276 4.945597 10.098205 21.142787
2026-02-15 0.233505 0.517941 1.103624 2.389270 5.137706 10.735663 23.016795
2026-02-22 0.215801 0.490914 1.071186 2.375469 5.230089 11.177724 24.524828
2026-03-01 0.196948 0.459229 1.025589 2.328401 5.246032 11.461034 25.719692
2026-03-08 0.178356 0.426047 0.973338 2.261077 5.210376 11.630106 26.679496
2026-03-15 0.164788 0.402953 0.941035 2.235116 5.263938 11.995941 28.109638